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Events for October 2012

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Economic Events

UK Forecast Previous
01 Oct 12 09:30 Manufacturing PMI 49.5 49.5
01 Oct 12 09:30 M4 Money Supply m/m 0.70% 0.50%
01 Oct 12 09:30 Net Lending to Individuals m/m 0.7B 0.9B
01 Oct 12 09:30 Mortgage Approvals 50K 47K
02 Oct 12 07:00 Nationwide HPI m/m 0.10% 1.30%
02 Oct 12 09:30 Construction PMI 50 49
03 Oct 12 00:01 BRC Shop Price Index y/y 1.10%
03 Oct 12 09:30 Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q -8.6B -8.8B
03 Oct 12 09:30 Services PMI 53.1 53.7
04 Oct 12 12:00 Official Bank Rate 0.50% 0.50%
04 Oct 12 12:00 Asset Purchase Facility 375B 375B
09 Oct 12 00:01 BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y -0.40%
09 Oct 12 00:01 RICS House Price Balance -19%
09 Oct 12 09:30 Manufacturing Production m/m 3.20%
09 Oct 12 09:30 Trade Balance -7.1B
09 Oct 12 09:30 Industrial Production m/m 2.90%
09 Oct 12 15:00 NIESR GDP Estimate 0.20%
12 Oct 12 10:00 CB Leading Index m/m 0.10%
15 Oct 12 00:01 Rightmove HPI m/m -0.60%
16 Oct 12 09:30 PPI Output m/m 0.30% 0.50%
16 Oct 12 09:30 HPI y/y 1.90% 2.00%
16 Oct 12 09:30 CPI y/y 2.20% 2.50%
16 Oct 12 09:30 RPI y/y 2.60% 2.90%
16 Oct 12 09:30 PPI Input m/m 0.00% 2.00%
16 Oct 12 09:30 Core CPI y/y 2.10% 2.10%
17 Oct 12 09:30 MPC Meeting Minutes 0-0-9 0-0-9
17 Oct 12 09:30 Unemployment Rate 8.10% 8.10%
17 Oct 12 09:30 Average Earnings Index 3m/y 1.60% 1.50%
17 Oct 12 09:30 Claimant Count Change -0.2K -15.0K
18 Oct 12 09:30 Retail Sales m/m 0.50% -0.20%
19 Oct 12 09:30 Public Sector Net Borrowing 11.8B 12.4B
23 Oct 12 09:30 BBA Mortgage Approvals 30.9K 30.5K
24 Oct 12 11:00 CBI Industrial Order Expectations -6 -8
25 Oct 12 09:30 Prelim GDP q/q 0.60% -0.40%
25 Oct 12 09:30 Index of Services 3m/3m 0.50% 0.10%
29 Oct 12 09:30 Net Lending to Individuals m/m 0.6B -0.4B
29 Oct 12 09:30 M4 Money Supply m/m 0.40% 0.20%
29 Oct 12 09:30 Mortgage Approvals 49K 48K
30 Oct 12 11:00 CBI Realized Sales 8 6
31 Oct 12 00:01 GfK Consumer Confidence -28 -28
EU Forecast Previous
01 Oct 12 08:15 Spanish Manufacturing PMI 44
01 Oct 12 08:45 Italian Manufacturing PMI 44.2 43.6
01 Oct 12 09:00 Final Manufacturing PMI 46 46
01 Oct 12 09:00 Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 10.80% 10.70%
01 Oct 12 10:00 Unemployment Rate 11.40% 11.30%
02 Oct 12 08:00 Spanish Unemployment Change 38.2K
02 Oct 12 10:00 PPI m/m 0.60% 0.40%
03 Oct 12 00:00 German Bank Holiday
03 Oct 12 08:15 Spanish Services PMI 44
03 Oct 12 08:45 Italian Services PMI 43.6 44
03 Oct 12 09:00 Final Services PMI 46 46
03 Oct 12 10:00 Retail Sales m/m 0.00% -0.20%
04 Oct 12 12:45 ECB Rate Decision 0.75% 0.75%
04 Oct 12 13:30 ECB Press Conference
05 Oct 12 10:00 Final GDP q/q -0.20% -0.20%
05 Oct 12 11:00 German Factory Orders m/m -0.40% 0.50%
08 Oct 12 00:00 Eurogroup Meetings
08 Oct 12 07:00 German Trade Balance 16.1B
08 Oct 12 09:30 Sentix Investor Confidence -23.2
08 Oct 12 11:00 German Industrial Production m/m 1.30%
09 Oct 12 00:00 ECOFIN Meetings
09 Oct 12 07:45 French Gov Budget Balance -85.5B
09 Oct 12 07:45 French Trade Balance -4.3B
10 Oct 12 07:45 French Industrial Production m/m 0.20%
10 Oct 12 09:00 Italian Industrial Production m/m -0.20%
11 Oct 12 07:00 German Final CPI m/m
11 Oct 12 07:45 French CPI m/m 0.70%
11 Oct 12 09:00 ECB Monthly Bulletin
12 Oct 12 10:00 Industrial Production m/m 0.60%
16 Oct 12 09:00 Italian Trade Balance 2.57B 4.49B
16 Oct 12 10:00 Trade Balance 8.4B 7.9B
16 Oct 12 10:00 ZEW Economic Sentiment -1.1 -3.8
16 Oct 12 10:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment -14.6 -18.2
16 Oct 12 10:00 CPI y/y 2.70% 2.70%
16 Oct 12 10:00 Core CPI y/y 1.60% 1.50%
18 Oct 12 00:00 EU Economic Summit
19 Oct 12 00:00 EU Economic Summit
19 Oct 12 07:00 German PPI m/m 0.30% 0.50%
19 Oct 12 09:00 Current Account 11.3B 9.7B
23 Oct 12 14:00 Belgium NBB Business Climate -10.8 -11.6
23 Oct 12 15:00 Consumer Confidence -26 -26
24 Oct 12 08:00 French Flash Services PMI 45.6 45
24 Oct 12 08:00 French Flash Manufacturing PMI 43.7 42.7
24 Oct 12 08:30 German Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.1 47.4
24 Oct 12 08:30 German Flash Services PMI 50.1 49.7
24 Oct 12 09:00 German Ifo Business Climate 101.7 101.4
24 Oct 12 09:00 Flash Manufacturing PMI 46.6 46.1
24 Oct 12 09:00 Flash Services PMI 46.5 46.1
25 Oct 12 09:00 Italian Retail Sales m/m 0.30% -0.20%
25 Oct 12 09:00 M3 Money Supply y/y 3.00% 2.90%
25 Oct 12 09:00 Private Loans y/y -0.40% -0.60%
26 Oct 12 07:00 German Import Prices m/m 0.30% 1.30%
26 Oct 12 07:00 GfK German Consumer Climate 5.9 5.9
26 Oct 12 08:00 Spanish Unemployment Rate 25.20% 24.60%
30 Oct 12 08:00 Spanish Flash GDP q/q -0.40% -0.40%
30 Oct 12 08:55 German Unemployment Change 10K 9K
30 Oct 12 09:10 Retail PMI 47.1
31 Oct 12 07:00 German Retail Sales m/m 0.60% 0.30%
31 Oct 12 07:45 French Consumer Spending m/m 0.20% 0.40%
31 Oct 12 09:00 Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 10.80% 10.70%
31 Oct 12 10:00 Unemployment Rate 11.40% 11.40%
31 Oct 12 10:00 Italian Prelim CPI m/m 0.20% 0.00%
31 Oct 12 10:00 CPI Flash Estimate y/y 2.50% 2.60%
US Forecast Previous
01 Oct 12 14:00 Final Manufacturing PMI 51.5 51.5
01 Oct 12 15:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI 50 49.6
01 Oct 12 15:00 Construction Spending m/m 0.60% -0.90%
01 Oct 12 15:00 ISM Manufacturing Prices 55.6 54
01 Oct 12 17:30 Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
02 Oct 12 13:55 Redbook mm 0.20%
03 Oct 12 13:15 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 148K 201K
03 Oct 12 15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.4 53.7
03 Oct 12 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories -2.4M
04 Oct 12 12:30 Challenger Job Cuts y/y -36.90%
04 Oct 12 13:30 Unemployment Claims 371K 359K
04 Oct 12 15:00 Factory Orders m/m -4.10% 2.80%
04 Oct 12 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 80B
04 Oct 12 19:00 FOMC Meeting Minutes
05 Oct 12 13:30 Unemployment Rate 8.20% 8.10%
05 Oct 12 13:30 Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.20% 0.00%
05 Oct 12 13:30 Non-Farm Employment Change 111K 96K
05 Oct 12 20:00 Consumer Credit m/m 6.3B -3.3B
08 Oct 12 00:00 Bank Holiday
09 Oct 12 15:00 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 51.8
10 Oct 12 15:00 Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.70%
10 Oct 12 18:00 10-y Bond Auction
10 Oct 12 19:00 Beige Book
11 Oct 12 13:30 Unemployment Claims
11 Oct 12 13:30 Import Prices m/m 0.70%
11 Oct 12 13:30 Trade Balance -42.0B
11 Oct 12 15:30 Natural Gas Storage
11 Oct 12 16:00 Crude Oil Inventories
11 Oct 12 18:00 30-y Bond Auction
11 Oct 12 19:00 Federal Budget Balance -190.5B
12 Oct 12 13:30 Core PPI m/m 0.20%
12 Oct 12 13:30 PPI m/m 1.70%
12 Oct 12 14:55 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 3.30%
12 Oct 12 14:55 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 78.3
15 Oct 12 13:30 Core Retail Sales m/m 0.60% 0.80%
15 Oct 12 13:30 Retail Sales m/m 0.70% 0.90%
15 Oct 12 13:30 Empire State Manufacturing Index -4.5 -10.4
15 Oct 12 15:00 Business Inventories m/m 0.50% 0.80%
16 Oct 12 13:30 CPI m/m 0.40% 0.60%
16 Oct 12 13:30 Core CPI m/m 0.20% 0.10%
16 Oct 12 14:00 TIC Long-Term Purchases 45.3B 67.0B
16 Oct 12 14:15 Capacity Utilization Rate 78.40% 78.20%
16 Oct 12 14:15 Industrial Production m/m 0.30% -1.20%
16 Oct 12 15:00 NAHB Housing Market Index 41 40
17 Oct 12 13:30 Housing Starts 0.77M 0.75M
17 Oct 12 13:30 Building Permits 0.81M 0.80M
17 Oct 12 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories 1.7M
18 Oct 12 13:30 Unemployment Claims 367K 339K
18 Oct 12 15:00 CB Leading Index m/m 0.10% -0.10%
18 Oct 12 15:00 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 0.5 -1.9
18 Oct 12 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 72B
19 Oct 12 15:00 Existing Home Sales 4.73M 4.82M
23 Oct 12 15:00 Richmond Manufacturing Index 3 4
24 Oct 12 14:00 Flash Manufacturing PMI 51.6 51.1
24 Oct 12 15:00 HPI m/m 0.40% 0.20%
24 Oct 12 15:00 New Home Sales 386K 373K
24 Oct 12 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories 2.9M
24 Oct 12 19:15 FOMC Statement
24 Oct 12 19:15 Federal Funds Rate
25 Oct 12 13:30 Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.80% -1.60%
25 Oct 12 13:30 Unemployment Claims 366k 388K
25 Oct 12 13:30 Durable Goods Orders m/m 6.90% -13.20%
25 Oct 12 15:00 Pending Home Sales m/m 2.40% -2.60%
25 Oct 12 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 51B
26 Oct 12 13:30 Advance GDP Price Index q/q 2.00% 1.60%
26 Oct 12 13:30 Advance GDP q/q 1.80% 1.30%
26 Oct 12 14:55 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 82.7 83.1
26 Oct 12 14:55 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 3.10%
29 Oct 12 12:30 Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.10% 0.10%
29 Oct 12 12:30 Personal Spending m/m 0.60% 0.50%
29 Oct 12 12:30 Personal Income m/m 0.50% 0.10%
30 Oct 12 13:00 S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 1.90% 1.20%
30 Oct 12 14:00 CB Consumer Confidence 72.4 70.3
31 Oct 12 12:30 Employment Cost Index q/q 0.50% 0.50%
31 Oct 12 13:45 Chicago PMI 51.5 49.7
31 Oct 12 14:30 Crude Oil Inventories 5.9M
Japan Forecast Previous
01 Oct 12 00:50 Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index 7 8
01 Oct 12 00:50 Tankan Manufacturing Index -4 -1
02 Oct 12 00:50 Monetary Base y/y 7.80% 6.50%
02 Oct 12 02:30 Average Cash Earnings y/y -0.90% -1.60%
05 Oct 12 00:00 Monetary Policy Statement
05 Oct 12 06:00 Leading Indicators 93.60% 93.00%
08 Oct 12 00:00 Bank Holiday
09 Oct 12 00:50 Current Account 0.34T
09 Oct 12 06:00 Economy Watchers Sentiment 43.6
09 Oct 12 06:00 BOJ Monthly Report
10 Oct 12 07:00 Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y -2.70%
11 Oct 12 00:50 Core Machinery Orders m/m 4.60%
11 Oct 12 00:50 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
11 Oct 12 00:50 Bank Lending y/y 0.90%
11 Oct 12 06:00 Household Confidence 40.5
12 Oct 12 00:50 M2 Money Stock y/y 2.40%
12 Oct 12 00:50 CGPI y/y -1.80%
12 Oct 12 00:50 Tertiary Industry Activity m/m -0.80%
15 Oct 12 05:30 Revised Industrial Production m/m -1.30% -1.30%
19 Oct 12 05:30 All Industries Activity m/m 0.20% -0.60%
19 Oct 12 07:35 BOJ Gov Shirakawa Speaks
22 Oct 12 00:50 Trade Balance -0.74T -0.47T
25 Oct 12 00:50 CSPI y/y -0.40% -0.30%
26 Oct 12 00:30 Tokyo Core CPI y/y -0.50% -0.40%
26 Oct 12 00:30 National Core CPI y/y -0.20% -0.30%
29 Oct 12 23:30 Unemployment Rate 4.20% 4.20%
29 Oct 12 23:30 Household Spending y/y 0.80% 1.80%
29 Oct 12 23:50 Prelim Industrial Production m/m -3.10% -1.60%
30 Oct 12 06:00 BOJ Outlook Report
30 Oct 12 23:15 Manufacturing PMI 48
31 Oct 12 01:30 Average Cash Earnings y/y -0.30% 0.20%
31 Oct 12 05:00 Housing Starts y/y 16.60% -5.50%

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