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Events for October 2011

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Economic Events

UK Forecast Previous
03 Oct 11 09:30 Manufacturing PMI 48.9 49.4
04 Oct 11 09:30 MPC Member Miles Speaks
04 Oct 11 09:30 Construction PMI 51.7 52.6
05 Oct 11 00:01 BRC Shop Price Index y/y 2.70%
05 Oct 11 09:30 Current Account -10.4B -9.4B
05 Oct 11 09:30 Services PMI 50.7 51.1
05 Oct 11 09:30 Final GDP q/q 0.20% 0.20%
05 Oct 11 09:30 Revised Business Investment q/q
06 Oct 11 09:30 Index of Services 3m/3m 0.90% 0.50%
06 Oct 11 09:30 Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q -5.9B -5.8B
06 Oct 11 12:00 Official Bank Rate 0.50% 0.50%
06 Oct 11 12:00 Asset Purchase Facility 200B 200B
07 Oct 11 09:30 PPI Input m/m 1.40% -1.90%
07 Oct 11 09:30 PPI Output m/m 0.30% 0.10%
11 Oct 11 01:01 BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y
11 Oct 11 01:01 RICS House Price Balance
11 Oct 11 09:30 Manufacturing Production m/m
11 Oct 11 09:30 Trade Balance
11 Oct 11 09:30 Industrial Production m/m
11 Oct 11 10:00 CB Leading Index m/m
11 Oct 11 15:00 NIESR GDP Estimate
12 Oct 11 09:30 Unemployment Rate
12 Oct 11 09:30 Average Earnings Index 3m/y
12 Oct 11 09:30 Claimant Count Change
13 Oct 11 09:30 Trade Balance -8.8B -8.9B
14 Oct 11 14:00 Nationwide Consumer Confidence 48
17 Oct 11 00:01 Rightmove HPI m/m 0.70%
18 Oct 11 09:30 RPI y/y 5.20%
18 Oct 11 09:30 Core CPI y/y 3.10%
18 Oct 11 09:30 CPI y/y 4.50%
19 Oct 11 00:00 Inflation Report Hearings
19 Oct 11 09:30 MPC Meeting Minutes 0-0-9
20 Oct 11 09:30 Retail Sales m/m -0.20%
21 Oct 11 09:30 Public Sector Net Borrowing 13.2B
25 Oct 11 09:30 BBA Mortgage Approvals 36.3K 35.2K
25 Oct 11 09:30 Current Account -9.9B -9.4B
26 Oct 11 11:00 CBI Industrial Order Expectations -7 -9
27 Oct 11 11:00 CBI Realized Sales -15 -15
28 Oct 11 00:01 GfK Consumer Confidence -30 -30
31 Oct 11 10:30 M4 Money Supply m/m 0.30% -0.20%
31 Oct 11 10:30 Mortgage Approvals 51K 52K
31 Oct 11 10:30 Net Lending to Individuals m/m 0.9B 1.0B
EU Forecast Previous
03 Oct 11 00:00 German Bank Holiday
03 Oct 11 09:00 Final Manufacturing PMI 48.4 48.4
04 Oct 11 10:00 PPI m/m -0.20% 0.50%
05 Oct 11 09:00 Final Services PMI 49.1 49.1
05 Oct 11 10:00 Final GDP q/q 0.20% 0.20%
05 Oct 11 10:00 Retail Sales m/m -0.20% 0.30%
06 Oct 11 11:00 German Factory Orders m/m 0.10% -2.80%
06 Oct 11 12:45 Minimum Bid Rate 1.50% 1.50%
07 Oct 11 07:45 French Trade Balance -6.3B -6.5B
07 Oct 11 07:45 French Gov Budget Balance -86.6B
07 Oct 11 11:00 German Industrial Production m/m -0.90% 4.00%
10 Oct 11 07:00 German Trade Balance
10 Oct 11 07:45 French Industrial Production m/m
10 Oct 11 09:00 Italian Industrial Production m/m
10 Oct 11 09:30 Sentix Investor Confidence
12 Oct 11 06:30 French CPI m/m
12 Oct 11 10:00 Industrial Production m/m
13 Oct 11 07:00 German Final CPI m/m 0.10% 0.10%
13 Oct 11 09:00 ECB Monthly Bulletin
14 Oct 11 09:00 Italian Trade Balance 0.74B 1.44B
14 Oct 11 10:00 CPI y/y 3.00% 3.00%
14 Oct 11 10:00 Core CPI y/y 1.50% 1.20%
14 Oct 11 10:00 Trade Balance -1.1B -2.5B
18 Oct 11 10:00 ZEW Economic Sentiment -44.6
18 Oct 11 10:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment -43.3
19 Oct 11 09:00 Current Account -12.9B
20 Oct 11 07:00 German PPI m/m -0.30%
20 Oct 11 15:00 Consumer Confidence -19
21 Oct 11 10:00 German Ifo Business Climate 107.5
24 Oct 11 08:00 French Flash Services PMI 50.6 51.5
24 Oct 11 08:00 French Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.1 48.2
24 Oct 11 08:30 German Flash Manufacturing PMI 50 50.3
24 Oct 11 08:30 German Flash Services PMI 49.8 49.7
24 Oct 11 09:00 Flash Services PMI 48.6 48.8
24 Oct 11 09:00 Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.1 48.5
24 Oct 11 10:00 Industrial New Orders m/m 0.10% -1.60%
25 Oct 11 07:00 GfK German Consumer Climate 5.1 5.2
25 Oct 11 09:00 Italian Retail Sales m/m 0.10% -0.10%
25 Oct 11 14:00 Belgium NBB Business Climate -9.4
26 Oct 11 07:00 German Import Prices m/m 0.60% -0.70%
27 Oct 11 09:00 M3 Money Supply y/y 2.80% 2.80%
27 Oct 11 09:00 Private Loans y/y 2.70% 2.60%
28 Oct 11 07:45 French Consumer Spending m/m 0.10% 0.20%
31 Oct 11 08:00 German Retail Sales m/m 1.10% 2.70%
31 Oct 11 10:00 Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 7.90% 7.90%
31 Oct 11 11:00 Unemployment Rate 10.00% 10.00%
31 Oct 11 11:00 Italian Prelim CPI m/m 0.20% 0.00%
31 Oct 11 11:00 CPI Flash Estimate y/y 3.00% 3.00%
US Forecast Previous
03 Oct 11 15:00 ISM Manufacturing Prices 54.3 55.5
03 Oct 11 15:00 Construction Spending m/m -0.10% -1.30%
04 Oct 11 14:00 FOMC Member Raskin Speaks
04 Oct 11 15:00 Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies
04 Oct 11 15:00 Factory Orders m/m 0.20% 2.40%
05 Oct 11 12:30 Challenger Job Cuts y/y 47.00%
05 Oct 11 13:15 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 76K 91K
05 Oct 11 15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.1 53.3
05 Oct 11 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories 1.9M
06 Oct 11 13:30 Unemployment Claims 411K 391K
06 Oct 11 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 111B
07 Oct 11 13:30 Non-Farm Employment Change 51K 0K
07 Oct 11 13:30 Unemployment Rate 9.10% 9.10%
07 Oct 11 13:30 Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.20% -0.10%
07 Oct 11 15:00 Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.60% 0.80%
07 Oct 11 20:00 Consumer Credit m/m 8.0B 12.0B
10 Oct 11 00:00 Bank Holiday
11 Oct 11 16:00 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
11 Oct 11 19:00 Federal Budget Balance
13 Oct 11 13:30 Trade Balance -46.0B -44.8B
13 Oct 11 13:30 Unemployment Claims 406K 401K
13 Oct 11 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 103B 97B
13 Oct 11 16:00 Crude Oil Inventories 0.4M -4.7M
13 Oct 11 19:00 Federal Budget Balance -65.0B -134.2B
14 Oct 11 13:30 Core Retail Sales m/m 0.20% 0.10%
14 Oct 11 13:30 Retail Sales m/m 0.50% 0.00%
14 Oct 11 13:30 Import Prices m/m -0.30% -0.40%
14 Oct 11 14:55 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 60.2 59.4
14 Oct 11 14:55 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 3.30%
14 Oct 11 15:00 Business Inventories m/m 0.40% 0.40%
17 Oct 11 13:30 Empire State Manufacturing Index -8.8
17 Oct 11 14:15 Industrial Production m/m 0.20%
17 Oct 11 14:15 Capacity Utilization Rate 77.40%
18 Oct 11 13:30 Core PPI m/m 0.10%
18 Oct 11 13:30 PPI m/m 0.00%
18 Oct 11 14:00 TIC Long-Term Purchases 9.5B
18 Oct 11 15:00 NAHB Housing Market Index 14
19 Oct 11 13:30 Core CPI m/m 0.20%
19 Oct 11 13:30 CPI m/m 0.40%
19 Oct 11 13:30 Housing Starts 0.57M
19 Oct 11 13:30 Building Permits 0.62M
19 Oct 11 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories
19 Oct 11 19:00 Beige Book
20 Oct 11 13:30 Unemployment Claims
20 Oct 11 15:00 Existing Home Sales 5.03M
20 Oct 11 15:00 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index -17.5
20 Oct 11 15:00 CB Leading Index m/m 0.30%
20 Oct 11 15:30 Natural Gas Storage
25 Oct 11 14:00 S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y -3.60% -4.10%
25 Oct 11 15:00 CB Consumer Confidence 46.2 45.4
25 Oct 11 15:00 OFHEO HPI m/m 0.10% 0.80%
25 Oct 11 15:00 Richmond Manufacturing Index 2 -6
26 Oct 11 13:30 Durable Goods Orders m/m -0.60% -0.10%
26 Oct 11 13:30 Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.50% -0.10%
26 Oct 11 15:00 New Home Sales 302K 295K
26 Oct 11 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories -4.7M
27 Oct 11 13:30 Unemployment Claims 404K 403K
27 Oct 11 13:30 Advance GDP q/q 2.40% 1.30%
27 Oct 11 15:00 Pending Home Sales m/m 0.20% -1.20%
27 Oct 11 15:30 Natural Gas Storage 103B
28 Oct 11 13:30 Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.10% 0.10%
28 Oct 11 13:30 Employment Cost Index q/q 0.60% 0.70%
28 Oct 11 13:30 Personal Spending m/m 0.60% 0.20%
28 Oct 11 13:30 Personal Income m/m 0.40% -0.10%
28 Oct 11 14:55 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 58.2 57.5
28 Oct 11 14:55 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 3.20%
31 Oct 11 14:45 Chicago PMI 59.3 60.4
Japan Forecast Previous
03 Oct 11 00:50 Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index 3 -5
03 Oct 11 00:50 Tankan Manufacturing Index 2 -9
04 Oct 11 00:50 Monetary Base y/y 16.30% 15.90%
04 Oct 11 02:30 Average Cash Earnings y/y 0.70% -0.20%
07 Oct 11 06:00 Leading Indicators 103.80% 104.60%
10 Oct 11 06:00 Economy Watchers Sentiment
10 Oct 11 07:00 Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
11 Oct 11 00:50 Bank Lending y/y
11 Oct 11 00:50 Current Account
11 Oct 11 00:50 CGPI y/y
11 Oct 11 00:50 M2 Money Stock y/y
11 Oct 11 06:00 Household Confidence
12 Oct 11 00:50 Core Machinery Orders m/m
13 Oct 11 00:50 Bank Lending y/y -0.50% -0.50%
13 Oct 11 00:50 Tertiary Industry Activity m/m -0.30% -0.30%
13 Oct 11 00:50 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
14 Oct 11 00:50 M2 Money Stock y/y 2.70% 2.70%
14 Oct 11 00:50 CGPI y/y 2.50% 2.60%
17 Oct 11 05:30 Revised Industrial Production m/m 0.80%
19 Oct 11 05:30 All Industries Activity m/m 0.40%
26 Oct 11 00:50 CSPI y/y -0.40% -0.40%
27 Oct 11 00:50 Retail Sales y/y 0.00% -2.60%
27 Oct 11 07:00 BOJ Outlook Report
28 Oct 11 00:30 Household Spending y/y -3.40% -4.10%
28 Oct 11 00:30 Tokyo Core CPI y/y -0.40% -0.10%
28 Oct 11 00:30 National Core CPI y/y 0.20% 0.20%
28 Oct 11 00:30 Unemployment Rate 4.50% 4.30%
28 Oct 11 00:50 Prelim Industrial Production m/m -2.00% 0.60%
31 Oct 11 00:15 Manufacturing PMI 49.3
31 Oct 11 06:00 Housing Starts y/y 8.50% 14.00%

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