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Events for February 2013

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Economic Events

UK Forecast Previous
01 Feb 13 09:30 Manufacturing PMI 51 51.4
04 Feb 13 09:30 Construction PMI 49.7 48.7
05 Feb 13 00:01 BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y 0.30%
05 Feb 13 09:30 Services PMI 49.8 48.9
06 Feb 13 00:01 BRC Shop Price Index y/y 1.50%
07 Feb 13 09:30 Trade Balance -8.9B -9.2B
07 Feb 13 09:30 Manufacturing Production m/m 0.70% -0.30%
07 Feb 13 09:30 Industrial Production m/m 0.70% 0.30%
07 Feb 13 12:00 Official Bank Rate 0.50% 0.50%
07 Feb 13 12:00 Asset Purchase Facility 375B 375B
07 Feb 13 15:00 NIESR GDP Estimate -0.30%
12 Feb 13 00:01 RICS House Price Balance 0% 0%
12 Feb 13 09:30 RPI y/y 3.20% 3.10%
12 Feb 13 09:30 Core CPI y/y 2.40% 2.40%
12 Feb 13 09:30 PPI Output m/m 0.30% -0.10%
12 Feb 13 09:30 PPI Input m/m 0.80% -0.20%
12 Feb 13 09:30 HPI y/y 2.30% 2.10%
12 Feb 13 09:30 CPI y/y 2.80% 2.70%
12 Feb 13 10:00 CB Leading Index m/m 0.20%
13 Feb 13 10:30 BOE Inflation Report
13 Feb 13 10:30 BOE Gov King Speaks
15 Feb 13 09:30 Retail Sales m/m 0.50% -0.10%
18 Feb 13 00:01 Rightmove HPI m/m 0.20%
20 Feb 13 09:30 Claimant Count Change -5.3K -12.1K
20 Feb 13 09:30 Unemployment Rate 7.70% 7.70%
20 Feb 13 09:30 MPC Meeting Minutes 0-0-9 0-0-9
20 Feb 13 09:30 Average Earnings Index 3m/y 1.40% 1.50%
21 Feb 13 09:30 Public Sector Net Borrowing -11.3B 13.2B
21 Feb 13 11:00 CBI Industrial Order Expectations -16 -20
25 Feb 13 09:30 BBA Mortgage Approvals 34.2K 33.6K
26 Feb 13 11:00 CBI Realized Sales 16 17
27 Feb 13 09:30 Second Estimate GDP q/q -0.30% -0.30%
27 Feb 13 09:30 Prelim Business Investment q/q 2.20% 3.80%
27 Feb 13 09:30 Index of Services 3m/3m 0.10% 0.60%
28 Feb 13 00:01 GfK Consumer Confidence -26 -26
EU Forecast Previous
01 Feb 13 08:15 Spanish Manufacturing PMI 45.5 44.6
01 Feb 13 08:45 Italian Manufacturing PMI 47.6 46.7
01 Feb 13 09:00 Final Manufacturing PMI 47.5 47.5
01 Feb 13 09:00 Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 11.30% 11.10%
01 Feb 13 10:00 Unemployment Rate 11.90% 11.80%
01 Feb 13 10:00 CPI Flash Estimate y/y 2.20% 2.20%
04 Feb 13 08:00 Spanish Unemployment Change 150.0K -59.1K
04 Feb 13 09:30 Sentix Investor Confidence -2.2 -7
04 Feb 13 10:00 PPI m/m -0.20% -0.20%
05 Feb 13 08:15 Spanish Services PMI 44.7 44.3
05 Feb 13 08:45 Italian Services PMI 45.9 45.6
05 Feb 13 09:00 Final Services PMI 48.3 48.3
05 Feb 13 10:00 Italian Prelim CPI m/m 0.20% 0.30%
05 Feb 13 10:00 Retail Sales m/m -0.50% 0.10%
06 Feb 13 11:00 German Factory Orders m/m 0.80% -1.80%
07 Feb 13 07:45 French Trade Balance -4.2B -4.3B
07 Feb 13 11:00 German Industrial Production m/m 0.20% 0.20%
07 Feb 13 12:45 Minimum Bid Rate 0.75% 0.75%
07 Feb 13 13:30 ECB Press Conference
08 Feb 13 07:00 German Trade Balance 13.7B 14.6B
08 Feb 13 07:45 French Gov Budget Balance -103.4B
08 Feb 13 09:00 Italian Industrial Production m/m 0.20% -1.00%
11 Feb 13 00:00 Eurogroup Meetings
11 Feb 13 07:45 French Industrial Production m/m -0.30% 0.50%
12 Feb 13 00:00 ECOFIN Meetings
12 Feb 13 15:30 ECB President Draghi Speaks
13 Feb 13 07:00 German WPI m/m 0.40% 0.00%
13 Feb 13 10:00 Industrial Production m/m 0.30% -0.30%
14 Feb 13 06:30 French Prelim GDP q/q -0.20% 0.10%
14 Feb 13 07:00 German Prelim GDP q/q -0.50% 0.20%
14 Feb 13 07:45 French Prelim Non-Farm Payrolls q/q -0.20% -0.30%
14 Feb 13 09:00 Italian Prelim GDP q/q -0.50% -0.20%
14 Feb 13 09:00 ECB Monthly Bulletin
14 Feb 13 10:00 Flash GDP q/q -0.40% -0.10%
15 Feb 13 09:00 Italian Trade Balance 2.22B 2.36B
15 Feb 13 10:00 Trade Balance 10.7B 11.0B
18 Feb 13 09:00 Current Account 15.3B 14.8B
19 Feb 13 10:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment 35.3 31.5
19 Feb 13 10:00 ZEW Economic Sentiment 35.5 31.2
20 Feb 13 07:00 German Final CPI m/m -0.50% -0.50%
20 Feb 13 07:00 German PPI m/m 0.40% -0.30%
20 Feb 13 07:45 French CPI m/m -0.20% 0.30%
20 Feb 13 15:00 Consumer Confidence -23 -24
21 Feb 13 08:00 French Flash Manufacturing PMI 43.9 42.9
21 Feb 13 08:00 French Flash Services PMI 44.5 43.6
21 Feb 13 08:30 German Flash Manufacturing PMI 50.4 49.8
21 Feb 13 08:30 German Flash Services PMI 55.5 55.7
21 Feb 13 09:00 Flash Services PMI 49.2 48.6
21 Feb 13 09:00 Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.4 47.9
22 Feb 13 07:00 German Final GDP q/q -0.60% -0.60%
22 Feb 13 09:00 German Ifo Business Climate 104.9 104.2
22 Feb 13 11:00 Italian Retail Sales m/m 0.30% -0.40%
22 Feb 13 14:00 Belgium NBB Business Climate -11.1 -13.2
27 Feb 13 07:00 GfK German Consumer Climate 5.9 5.8
27 Feb 13 07:00 German Import Prices m/m 0.50% -0.50%
27 Feb 13 09:00 Private Loans y/y -0.60% -0.70%
27 Feb 13 09:00 M3 Money Supply y/y 3.20% 3.30%
27 Feb 13 09:10 Retail PMI 45.9
28 Feb 13 07:45 French Consumer Spending m/m -0.10% 0.00%
28 Feb 13 08:55 German Unemployment Change -5K -16K
28 Feb 13 10:00 Core CPI y/y 1.50% 1.50%
28 Feb 13 10:00 CPI y/y 2.00% 2.00%
US Forecast Previous
01 Feb 13 13:30 Non-Farm Employment Change 156K 155K
01 Feb 13 13:30 Unemployment Rate 7.80% 7.80%
01 Feb 13 13:30 Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.20% 0.30%
01 Feb 13 14:00 Final Manufacturing PMI 56.1 56.1
01 Feb 13 14:55 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 3.30%
01 Feb 13 14:55 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 71.4 71.3
01 Feb 13 15:00 Construction Spending m/m 0.60% -0.30%
01 Feb 13 15:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI 50.8 50.7
01 Feb 13 15:00 ISM Manufacturing Prices 56.3 55.5
04 Feb 13 15:00 Factory Orders m/m 2.30% 0.00%
05 Feb 13 15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 55.2 56.1
05 Feb 13 15:00 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 46.1 46.5
07 Feb 13 13:30 Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q -0.80% 2.90%
07 Feb 13 13:30 Unemployment Claims 361K 368K
07 Feb 13 13:30 Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q 2.80% -1.90%
07 Feb 13 20:00 Consumer Credit m/m 13.2B 16.0B
08 Feb 13 13:30 Trade Balance -45.8B -48.7B
08 Feb 13 15:00 Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.40% 0.60%
11 Feb 13 18:00 FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
12 Feb 13 12:30 NFIB Small Business Index 89 88
12 Feb 13 16:30 FOMC Member George Speaks
12 Feb 13 19:00 Federal Budget Balance -4.6B -0.3B
13 Feb 13 13:30 Retail Sales m/m 0.10% 0.50%
13 Feb 13 13:30 Import Prices m/m 0.80% -0.10%
13 Feb 13 13:30 Core Retail Sales m/m 0.20% 0.30%
13 Feb 13 15:00 Business Inventories m/m 0.30% 0.30%
13 Feb 13 15:30 Crude Oil Inventories 2.6M
13 Feb 13 16:10 FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
13 Feb 13 18:00 10-y Bond Auction 1.86|2.8
14 Feb 13 13:30 Unemployment Claims 361K 366K
14 Feb 13 15:30 Natural Gas Storage -118B
14 Feb 13 15:30 FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks
14 Feb 13 17:50 FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
14 Feb 13 18:00 30-y Bond Auction 3.07|2.8
15 Feb 13 13:30 Empire State Manufacturing Index -2.1 -7.8
15 Feb 13 14:00 TIC Long-Term Purchases 34.3B 52.3B
15 Feb 13 14:15 Capacity Utilization Rate 78.90% 78.80%
15 Feb 13 14:15 Industrial Production m/m 0.20% 0.30%
15 Feb 13 14:55 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 74.6 71.3
15 Feb 13 14:55 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 3.40%
19 Feb 13 15:00 NAHB Housing Market Index 48 47
20 Feb 13 13:30 Building Permits 0.92M 0.91M
20 Feb 13 13:30 PPI m/m 0.30% -0.20%
20 Feb 13 13:30 Core PPI m/m 0.20% 0.10%
20 Feb 13 13:30 Housing Starts 0.93M 0.95M
20 Feb 13 19:00 FOMC Meeting Minutes
21 Feb 13 13:30 Core CPI m/m 0.20% 0.10%
21 Feb 13 13:30 Unemployment Claims 361K 341K
21 Feb 13 13:30 CPI m/m 0.10% 0.00%
21 Feb 13 14:00 Flash Manufacturing PMI 55.6 55.8
21 Feb 13 15:00 Existing Home Sales 4.91M 4.94M
21 Feb 13 15:00 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 0.7 -5.8
21 Feb 13 15:00 CB Leading Index m/m 0.20% 0.50%
26 Feb 13 14:00 S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 6.70% 5.50%
26 Feb 13 14:00 HPI m/m 0.60% 0.60%
26 Feb 13 15:00 CB Consumer Confidence 60.8 58.6
26 Feb 13 15:00 New Home Sales 381K 369K
26 Feb 13 15:00 Richmond Manufacturing Index -4 -12
27 Feb 13 13:30 Durable Goods Orders m/m -4.10% 4.30%
27 Feb 13 13:30 Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.30% 1.00%
27 Feb 13 15:00 Pending Home Sales m/m 1.70% -4.30%
28 Feb 13 13:30 Prelim GDP q/q 0.50% -0.10%
28 Feb 13 13:30 Unemployment Claims 361K 362K
28 Feb 13 13:30 Prelim GDP Price Index q/q 0.60% 0.60%
28 Feb 13 14:45 Chicago PMI 54.1 55.6
Japan Forecast Previous
06 Feb 13 23:50 Core Machinery Orders m/m -0.70% 3.90%
07 Feb 13 05:00 Leading Indicators 93.80% 92.10%
07 Feb 13 23:50 Current Account 0.24T 0.23T
07 Feb 13 23:50 Bank Lending y/y 1.20%
08 Feb 13 05:00 Economy Watchers Sentiment 48.2 45.8
11 Feb 13 23:50 M2 Money Stock y/y 2.60% 2.60%
12 Feb 13 05:00 Consumer Confidence 40.5 39.2
12 Feb 13 06:00 Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y -27.50%
12 Feb 13 23:50 Tertiary Industry Activity m/m 0.80% -0.30%
12 Feb 13 23:50 CGPI y/y -0.30% -0.60%
13 Feb 13 23:50 Prelim GDP q/q 0.10% -0.90%
13 Feb 13 23:50 Prelim GDP Price Index y/y -0.50% -0.80%
15 Feb 13 04:30 Revised Industrial Production m/m 2.50% 2.50%
15 Feb 13 05:00 BOJ Monthly Report
18 Feb 13 23:50 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
19 Feb 13 23:50 Trade Balance -0.59T -0.80T
20 Feb 13 04:30 All Industries Activity m/m 1.60% -0.30%
26 Feb 13 23:50 Retail Sales y/y -1.40% 0.30%
27 Feb 13 23:15 Manufacturing PMI 47.7
27 Feb 13 23:50 Prelim Industrial Production m/m 1.60% 2.50%
28 Feb 13 05:00 Housing Starts y/y 8.90% 10.00%
28 Feb 13 23:30 Household Spending y/y 0.50% -0.70%
28 Feb 13 23:30 Tokyo Core CPI y/y -0.50% -0.50%
28 Feb 13 23:30 Unemployment Rate 4.20% 4.20%
28 Feb 13 23:30 National Core CPI y/y -0.20% -0.20%
28 Feb 13 23:50 Capital Spending q/y -7.00% 2.20%

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